The Dragon in My Garage
A story from "The Demon Haunted World", by Carl Sagan
"A fire-breathing dragon lives in my garage."
Suppose I seriously make such an assertion to you. Surely you'd want to check
it out, see for yourself. There have been innumerable stories of dragons
over the centuries, but no real evidence. What an opportunity!
"Show me", you say, and I lead you to my garage. You look inside and see a
ladder, empty paint cans, an old tricycle - but no dragon
"Where's the dragon", you ask.
"Oh, she's right here", I reply, waving vaguely. "I neglected to mention that
she's an invisible dragon".
You propose spreading flour on the floor of the garage to capture the dragon's
footprints. "Good idea", I say, "but this dragon floats in the air". Then
you'll use an infrared sensor to detect the invisible fire. "Good idea, but the
invisible fire is also heatless", I say. You'll spray-paint the dragon and make
her visible. "Good idea, except she's an incorporeal (bodyless) dragon and the
paint won't stick!"
And so on. I counter every physical test you propose with a special explanation
of why it won't work.
Now what is the difference between an invisible, incorporeal, floating dragon
who spits heatless fire and no dragon at all? If there's no way to disprove
my contention, no conceivable experiment that would count against it, what
does it mean to say that my dragon exists? You're inability to invalidate
my hypothesis is not at all the same thing as proving it true. Claims that
cannot be tested, assertions immune to disproof are veridically worthless,
whatever value they may have in inspiring us or in exciting our sense of
wonder. What I'm asking you to do comes down to believing, in the absence
of evidence, on my say-so.